DID Press: The Economist wrote that Washington has four possible paths to act regarding Iran, but none of them are favorable for the United States.
“For almost everyone, it is clear that the U.S. entered this war with an incomplete strategy, starting with the failure to anticipate Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz. As the conflict enters its fourth week, President Trump has four options: negotiate, withdraw, continue, or escalate. If he has not decided yet, it is because none of these options are suitable,” the article states.
The newspaper notes that negotiations appear complicated, as in previous cases the U.S. carried out attacks against Iran during talks. Analysts predict that selecting a mediator will be difficult, given the maximalist demands on both sides.
Imposing an immediate end to the conflict or claiming victory will not alleviate Washington’s concerns about Iran’s enriched uranium stockpiles, nor quickly lower energy prices, because Iran will still fully control the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, the U.S. risks damaging relations with Gulf allies, as it would need to retreat from its key role in ensuring the safe flow of oil from the region.
Regarding the third option—continuing military operations—The Economist argues there is no guarantee of success, as Iran would still be capable of striking neighboring countries and blocking the Strait of Hormuz even under the toughest conditions.
Finally, the article notes that escalation without a ground operation is unlikely, and any such operation carries extreme risks, potentially triggering further Iranian attacks on energy infrastructure in neighboring countries.