AfghanistanPoliticsReportSociety

Washington’s Heavy Shadow Over Kabul: Which Country Afghans See as Shaping their Destiny?

According to the results of a recent survey published by DID Press News Agency, the United States, with 37% of the votes, has been identified by respondents as the most influential country in Afghanistan’s political future.

This outcome suggests that despite the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan in 2021 and the end of US military presence, the public still perceives Washington’s hidden or indirect role in Afghanistan’s political landscape as highly significant.

In the survey, Iran and Pakistan each secured 16% of the votes, placing them in second position. These two neighboring countries have historically maintained deep cultural, security, and migratory ties with Afghanistan. Linguistic proximity, the densely presence of Afghan migrants in both nations, and regional rivalries are among the key reasons for their inclusion as influential actors.

China (11%) and Russia (10%) ranked next. China’s potential economic investments and infrastructure projects in Afghanistan, along with Russia’s historical Soviet-era legacy and its security concerns in Central Asia, likely shaped public opinion.

Meanwhile, 10% of respondents did not consider any of the mentioned countries influential. This figure may reflect distrust toward foreign influence in Afghanistan’s future or belief in emerging powers and domestic non-state actors.

The survey indicates that while regional powers play a role in Afghanistan’s developments, the general perception remains that major decisions about the country’s political future are still primarily shaped by global superpowers—particularly the U.S.

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