DID Press: Andrew Hewitt, a prominent British theorist and author in the field of political science, in his analysis of the global capitalist system, shows that capitalism is inevitably driven to political and economic expansion to compensate for its cyclical downturns. In the current situation, deep economic and political crises in the Western world have pushed the United States toward intervention in strategic regions such as Iran and Turkey; a situation that, if not properly analyzed, could lead to major strategic errors for regional actors.
According to this theoretical framework, global capitalism, during periods of recession, can only restore its power through expanding influence in sensitive geographies. For this reason, in recent years, the United States has sought to dominate areas that have special significance in terms of energy, geopolitical position, and economic capacities. First, Venezuela was targeted as an energy source, then the South Caucasus was placed on the agenda as a regional energy hub, and efforts to gain influence in Greenland were also part of this process; however, the rising competition with China has prevented the United States from achieving its objectives.
Along this path, American think tanks have concluded that in order to contain China and compensate for economic and political setbacks, focusing on countries such as Iran and Turkey is necessary; countries whose geopolitical positions can determine regional energy, trade, and security routes. From this perspective, the recent U.S. campaign against Iran can also be analyzed within this framework.
Under such circumstances, Turkey must avoid strategic mistakes. Just as Iran is of vital importance to the U.S., Turkey could also be the next target of U.S. pressures. This issue highlights the necessity of revising Turkey’s foreign policy decision-making structures.
Andrew Hewood’s analysis also emphasizes the historical, cultural, social, and economic interconnection between Iran and Turkey. These two countries are not only neighbors but also share deep historical and civilizational ties which make strategic convergence essential in the current sensitive conditions. The idea of dividing Iran and Turkey has been a long-standing plan of the West and is still pursued. Therefore, regional cooperation and convergence between Tehran and Ankara can be decisive for both countries during critical periods.