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3-Front Crisis in Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and Taiwan May Trigger Oil Shock, Global Power Shift

DID Press: In a rapidly evolving global security landscape, simultaneous geopolitical flashpoints in West and East Asia are raising concerns over a potential structural shift in the international order and global energy markets.

Analysts warn that escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, combined with the risk of a conflict over Taiwan, could push oil prices beyond $200 per barrel and reshape global economic stability.

The report argues that heightened U.S. pressure on Iran, including proposals for maritime containment operations, could trigger retaliatory disruptions in key shipping lanes. Together, the Strait of Hormuz—through which roughly one-third of global oil flows—and Bab el-Mandeb, a critical link between the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean, are described as pivotal chokepoints in global energy supply chains.

In parallel, the Taiwan issue is framed as a potential second major escalation point in East Asia. The analysis claims that increased Chinese military activity around Taiwan reflects a reassessment of U.S. military capacity following recent regional conflicts, suggesting a possible shift in Beijing’s strategic calculations.

The report further highlights what it describes as a gradual realignment among some international actors distancing themselves from Washington’s policies, citing divergent positions within Western alliances and growing engagement between regional powers.

According to the analysis, simultaneous disruption across these maritime corridors and the Taiwan Strait could severely impact global supply chains, accelerate de-dollarization pressures, and intensify competition between emerging geopolitical blocs.

Ultimately, it concludes that any further escalation would deepen the transition from the existing global order toward a more fragmented, multipolar system, with energy markets as a central battleground.

By Rahel Mousavi | DID News Agency

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